Open the full-screen monitor ↗
1 · Cause
Why yields are rising
Separate real yields, breakeven inflation, expected short rates, and term premium before drawing a conclusion.
2 · Acceleration
Whether the move is accelerating
Track the level, 1/3/6-month changes, and 20/60-session slopes of term premium.
3 · Transmission
Whether stress is spreading
Read fiscal supply, auction demand, credit spreads, and equity transmission together.
The monitor prioritizes official U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, and FRED data. Term premium is model-estimated. MOVE and auction tail remain blank when no stable official free source is available. This is not investment advice.
Telegram: https://t.me/signalandflow